Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002985 0.003339 0.003709 0.004124 0.004574 0.005048 0.005584
2024-10-27 0.002418 0.002913 0.003460 0.004106 0.004844 0.005659 0.006621
2024-11-03 0.002045 0.002605 0.003250 0.004042 0.004980 0.006050 0.007353
2024-11-10 0.001794 0.002398 0.003118 0.004031 0.005145 0.006448 0.008075
2024-11-17 0.001582 0.002210 0.002984 0.003992 0.005255 0.006767 0.008695
2024-11-24 0.001467 0.002129 0.002968 0.004088 0.005522 0.007271 0.009540
2024-12-01 0.001289 0.001948 0.002808 0.003985 0.005525 0.007441 0.009970
2024-12-08 0.001172 0.001838 0.002730 0.003979 0.005645 0.007752 0.010575
2024-12-15 0.001126 0.001821 0.002772 0.004128 0.005966 0.008323 0.011519
2024-12-22 0.001053 0.001760 0.002748 0.004184 0.006162 0.008733 0.012262
2024-12-29 0.001009 0.001735 0.002771 0.004303 0.006442 0.009257 0.013159
2025-01-05 0.000972 0.001718 0.002804 0.004433 0.006739 0.009806 0.014100
2025-01-12 0.000863 0.001584 0.002661 0.004311 0.006688 0.009895 0.014440
2025-01-19 0.000792 0.001503 0.002591 0.004289 0.006773 0.010168 0.015033
2025-01-26 0.000716 0.001409 0.002495 0.004223 0.006791 0.010346 0.015496
2025-02-02 0.000661 0.001344 0.002439 0.004211 0.006884 0.010626 0.016101
2025-02-09 0.000604 0.001272 0.002367 0.004171 0.006931 0.010841 0.016618
2025-02-16 0.000581 0.001257 0.002386 0.004271 0.007187 0.011354 0.017557
2025-02-23 0.000520 0.001168 0.002276 0.004164 0.007127 0.011414 0.017857
2025-03-02 0.000483 0.001120 0.002232 0.004157 0.007218 0.011690 0.018468
2025-03-09 0.000476 0.001129 0.002287 0.004312 0.007559 0.012336 0.019617
2025-03-16 0.000453 0.001106 0.002283 0.004370 0.007751 0.012766 0.020461
2025-03-23 0.000442 0.001105 0.002318 0.004492 0.008046 0.013352 0.021539